Archive for August, 2009

Der er mange data om den ekstreme indvandrerkriminalitet på denne blog. Desværre viser det sig nu, at problemet er meget større. F.eks. bliver 70 % af volden på Nørrebro slet ikke anmeldt… Puha.

Her er tallene for, hvor stor en andel af forbrydelser som aldrig bliver anmeldt:

  • Vold: 70 procent
  • Trusler: 86 procent
  • Indbrud: 40 procent
  • Tyveri: 47 procent
  • Narkotika: 97 procent
  • Hærværk: 90 procent
  • Chikane: 95 procent.

Kilde: Politiken, d. 15. august 2009 “Borgerne fortier grov kriminalitet

“Cologne’s 120,000 Muslims are the most in any German city. By 2020, two-thirds of Cologne’s residents are expected to have foreign – mostly Turkish – roots. Designed for 2,000 worshipers, the mosque’s completion will be something of a coming-out party for a booming minority that has long lived in society’s shadows.

And it’s not just here. A handful of mosques 10 years ago have swollen to 164, and close to 200 more are under construction across Germany, says Claus Leggewie, co-author of “Mosques in Germany – religious home and societal challenge.”

“[It's] like a dream come true,” says Nalan Cinar of Ehrenfeld, the multiethnic neighborhood that’s home to the new mosque. Ms. Cinar, like most of Germany’s Muslims, doesn’t wear a head scarf or consider herself to be particularly devout. But she says “the feeling of something beautiful being ours is invaluable.”"

Kilde: Christian Science Monitor, d. 9. august 2009 “Germans wary as mosque rises in Cologne

Christian Science tal bør dog ses i perspektiv af disse data: http://www.stadt-koeln.de/zahlen/bevoelkerung/artikel/04600/

Skulle det lykkedes Tyrkiet at komme ind I EU, vil tallet selvfølgelig blive meget større. Dertil skal selvfølgelig bemærkes, at så snart en muslim er 3. generation i f.eks. Danmark, så vil han tælle som “dansker” i statistikkern, og det er altså ikke længere muligt at finde ud af, om personen kommer fra et muslimsk land. Mange “danskere” er således muslimer, og taller er altså højere:

“Last year, five per cent of the total population of the 27 EU countries was Muslim. But rising levels of immigration from Muslim countries and low birth rates among Europe’s indigenous population mean that, by 2050, the figure will be 20 per cent, according to forecasts.

Data gathered from various sources indicate that Britain, Spain and Holland will have an even higher proportion of Muslims in a shorter amount of time.

The UK, which currently has 20 million fewer people than Germany, is also projected to be the EU’s most populous country by 2060, with 77 million people.

The findings have led to allegations that policy-makers are failing to confront the widespread challenges of the “demographic time bomb”.

Experts say that there has been a lack of debate on how the population chawill affect areas of life from education and housing to foreign policy and pensions.

Although some polls have pointed to a lack of radicalisation in the Muslim community, little attention is being given to the integration of migrants, it is claimed, with fears of social unrest in years to come.”

Kilde: The Telegraph, d. 8. august 2009 “A fifth of European Union will be Muslim in 2050

Interessant læsning:

Ankara –APA. 70 percent of the Turkish citizens never read books, Konda public opinion researchers said, APA reports. The research center conducted opinion poll among 6482 respondents and found out mood of national and religious discrimination, as well as isolation is still in a high level in the country. According to researches, despite that there are many Turks living in the European countries, 90 percent of Turkish citizens never travel to the foreign countries. 73 percent of respondents were against the purchasing of real estate by the foreigners. Most of them considered the neighbor countries as a threat for the territorial integrity of Turkey.
The researchers found out interesting facts about the women’s role in the Turkish society. 70 percent of respondents think that the woman can work only by consent of her husband. 57 percent said considered appearance of women in the public places without headscarves as unacceptable. Half of the respondents supported the headscarves in the offices despite it was banned by the Constitution. 88 percent of Turkish citizens supported democracy in the country and 48 percent said the army could interfere in the political processes only if it was necessary.”

Kilde: APA, d. 23. februar 2009 “70 percent of Turkish citizens never read book

F’ørst et udpluk:

“The numbers are startling. Only 3.2 per cent of Spain’s population was foreign-born in 1998. In 2007 it was 13.4 per cent. Europe’s Muslim population has more than doubled in the past 30 years and will have doubled again by 2015. In Brussels, the top seven baby boys’ names recently were Mohamed, Adam, Rayan, Ayoub, Mehdi, Amine and Hamza.”

Og så hele den fantastisk vigtige artikel (send den meget gerne videre til venner, bekendte, kolleger osv.):

Britain and the rest of the European Union are ignoring a demographic time bomb: a recent rush into the EU by migrants, including millions of Muslims, will change the continent beyond recognition over the next two decades, and almost no policy-makers are talking about it.

The numbers are startling. Only 3.2 per cent of Spain’s population was foreign-born in 1998. In 2007 it was 13.4 per cent. Europe’s Muslim population has more than doubled in the past 30 years and will have doubled again by 2015. In Brussels, the top seven baby boys’ names recently were Mohamed, Adam, Rayan, Ayoub, Mehdi, Amine and Hamza.

Europe’s low white birth rate, coupled with faster multiplying migrants, will change fundamentally what we take to mean by European culture and society. The altered population mix has far-reaching implications for education, housing, welfare, labour, the arts and everything in between. It could have a critical impact on foreign policy: a study was submitted to the US Air Force on how America’s relationship with Europe might evolve. Yet EU officials admit that these issues are not receiving the attention they deserve.

Jerome Vignon, the director for employment and social affairs at the European Commission, said that the focus of those running the EU had been on asylum seekers and the control of migration rather than the integration of those already in the bloc. “It has certainly been underestimatede_SLps there is a general rhetoric that social integration of migrants should be given as much importance as monitoring the inflow of migrants.” But, he said, the rhetoric had rarely led to policy.

The countries of the EU have long histories of welcoming migrants, but in recent years two significant trends have emerged. Migrants have come increasingly from outside developed economies, and they have come in accelerating numbers.

The growing Muslim population is of particular interest. This is not because Muslims are the only immigrants coming into the EU in large numbers; there are plenty of entrants from all points of the compass. But Muslims represent a particular set of issues beyond the fact that atrocities have been committed in the West in the name of Islam.

America’s Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life, part of the non-partisan Pew Research Center, said in a report: “These [EU] countries possess deep historical, cultural, religious and linguistic traditions. Injecting hundreds of thousands, and in some cases millions, of people who look, speak and act differently into these settings often makes for a difficult social fit.”

How dramatic are the population changes? Everyone is aware that certain neighbourhoods of certain cities in Europe are becoming more Muslim, and that the change is gathering pace. But raw details are hard to come by as the data is sensitive: many countries in the EU do not collect population statistics by religion.

EU numbers on general immigration tell a story on their own. In the latter years of the 20th century, the 27 countries of the EU attracted half a million more people a year than left. “Since 2002, however,” the latest EU report says, “net migration into the EU has roughly tripled to between 1.6 million and two million people per year.”

The increased pace has made a nonsense of previous forecasts. In 2004 the EU thought its population would decline by 16 million by 2050. Now it thinks it will increase by 10 million by 2060. Britain is expected to become the most populous EU country by 2060, with 77 million inhabitants. Right now it has 20 million fewer people than Germany. Italy’s population was expected to fall precipitously; now it is predicted to stay flat.

The study for the US Air Force by Leon Perkowski in 2006 found that there were at least 15 million Muslims in the EU, and possibly as many as 23 million. They are not uniformly distributed, of course. According to the US’s Migration Policy Institute, residents of Muslim faith will account for more than 20 per cent of the EU population by 2050 but already do so in a number of cities. Whites will be in a minority in Birmingham by 2026, says Christopher Caldwell, an American journalist, and even sooner in Leicester. Another forecast holds that Muslims could outnumber non-Muslims in France and perhaps in all of western Europe by mid-century. Austria was 90 per cent Catholic in the 20th century but Islam could be the majority religion among Austrians aged under 15 by 2050, says Mr Caldwell.

Projected growth rates are a disputed area. Birth rates can be difficult to predict and migrant numbers can ebb and flow. But Karoly Lorant, a Hungarian economist who wrote a paper for the European Parliament, calculates that Muslims already make up 25 per cent of the population in Marseilles and Rotterdam, 20 per cent in Malmo, 15 per cent in Brussels and Birmingham and 10 per cent in London, Paris and Copenhagen.

Recent polls have tended to show that the feared radicalisation of Europe’s Muslims has not occurred. That gives hope that the newcomers will integrate successfully. Nonetheless, second and third generations of Muslims show signs of being harder to integrate than their parents. Policy Exchange, a British study group, found that more than 70 per cent of Muslims over 55 felt that they had as much in common with non-Muslims as Muslims. But this fell to 62 per cent of 16-24 year-olds.

The population changes are stirring unease on the ground. Europeans often tell pollsters that they have had enough immigration, but politicians largely avoid debate.

France banned the wearing of the hijab veil in schools and stopped the wearing of large crosses and the yarmulke too, so making it harder to argue that the law was aimed solely at Muslims. Britain has strengthened its laws on religious hatred. But these are generally isolated pieces of legislation.

Into the void has stepped a resurgent group of extreme-Right political parties, among them the British National Party, which gained two seats at recent elections to the European Parliament. Geert Wilders, the Dutch politician who speaks against Islam and was banned this year from entering Britain, has led opinion polls in Holland.

The Pew Forum identified the mainstream silence in 2005: “The fact that [extreme parties] have risen to prominence at all speaks poorlye_SLps about the state and quality of the immigration debate. [Scholars] have argued that European elites have yet to fully grapple with the broader issues of race and identity surrounding Muslims and other groups for fear of being seen as politically incorrect.”

The starting point should be greater discussion of integration. Does it matter at all? Yes, claims Mr Vignon at the European Commission. Without it, polarisation and ghettoes can result. “It’s bad because it creates antagonism. It antagonises poor people against other poor people: people with low educational attainment feel threatened,” he says.

The EU says employment rates for non-EU nationals are lower than for nationals, which holds back economic advancement and integration. One important reason for this is a lack of language skills. The Migration Policy Institute says that, in 2007, 28 per cent of children born in England and Wales had at least one foreign-born parent. That rose to 54 per cent in London. Overall in 2008, 14.4 per cent of children in primary schools had a language other than English as their first language.

Muslims, who are a hugely diverse group, have so far shown little inclination to organise politically on lines of race or religion. But that does not mean their voices are being ignored. Germany started to reform its voting laws 10 years ago, granting certain franchise rights to the large Turkish population. It would be odd if that did not alter the country’s stance on Turkey’s application to join the EU. Mr Perkowski’s study says: “Faced with rapidly growing, disenfranchised and increasingly politically empowered Muslim populations within the borders of some of its oldest and strongest allies, the US could be faced with ever stronger challenges to its Middle East foreign policies.”

Demography will force politicians to confront these issues sooner rather than later. Recently, some have started to nudge the debate along. Angel Gurría, the OECD secretary-general, said in June: “Migration is not a tap that can be turned on and off at will. We need fair and effective migration and integration policies; policies that work and adjust to both good economic times and bad ones.”

Kilde og link: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/5994047/Muslim-Europe-the-demographic-time-bomb-transforming-our-continent.html

Integrationen går tilbage, ikke fremad:

“Århus Kommune har for fjerde år i træk sprogtestet de kommende skolebørn, og årets resultat markerer et nyt lavpunkt. Mens hvert tredje af de tosprogede børn i 2006 mestrede et alderssvarende dansk, gælder det nu blot for hvert femte barn, 19 pct.”

“I år har kommunen for første gang også sprogtestet de treårige. Blandt disse er det 1 pct. af de tosprogede børn, der taler et alderssvarende dansk.”

Kilde: Aarhus.dk, d. 12. maj 2009 “Tosprogede børn er dårligere til dansk

Hvis du vil læse lidt om, hvad dårligt sprog betyder for fremtidige skolekundskaber og evnen til selv at tjene sine penge når man bliver voksen, så læs her: http://www.berlingske.dk/article/20090810/danmark/708100055/

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